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← Back to IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 2 Pickem overview

MAJOR — IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 2 Pickem Picks

MAJOR · Rank + H2H + Form for major events

🎯 MAJOR's Pickem Picks

From 10,000 Monte Carlo Swiss simulations using MAJOR's match-level priors
🏆 3-0
G2
HLTV #12
2% confidence
💀 0-3
BIG
unranked
2% confidence
⚡ Advance (3-1 or 3-2) — 7 picks
⚡ 1
paiN
HLTV #19
4% advance
⚡ 2
Monte
HLTV #23
4% advance
⚡ 3
Astralis
HLTV #10
4% advance
⚡ 4
Legacy
HLTV #14
4% advance
⚡ 5
B8
HLTV #20
4% advance
⚡ 6
9z
HLTV #17
4% advance
⚡ 7
FUT
HLTV #13
4% advance

📊 Full Probability Matrix

All 16 teams ranked by MAJOR's perfect-Swiss probability. Each row shows how often the team finished in that bucket across 10,000 simulations.
Team P(3-0) P(Advance) P(0-3) P(Eliminate) Picked as
G2 #12 0.179 0.455 0.078 0.367 3-0 PICK
Monte #23 0.168 0.431 0.085 0.402 ADVANCE
paiN #19 0.167 0.432 0.086 0.401 ADVANCE
B8 #20 0.163 0.413 0.091 0.424 ADVANCE
Legacy #14 0.163 0.417 0.085 0.420 ADVANCE
FUT #13 0.144 0.395 0.097 0.461 ADVANCE
9z #17 0.138 0.395 0.100 0.466 ADVANCE
Spirit #9 0.130 0.391 0.110 0.479
TYLOO #21 0.120 0.388 0.123 0.493
Astralis #10 0.119 0.419 0.115 0.462 ADVANCE
BetBoom #28 0.111 0.356 0.131 0.533
GamerLegion #22 0.107 0.387 0.132 0.507
MIBR 0.079 0.301 0.177 0.619
FlyQuest 0.077 0.299 0.181 0.624
M80 0.071 0.266 0.203 0.664
BIG 0.065 0.256 0.207 0.679 0-3 PICK

How MAJOR predicts

Rank + H2H + Form for major events

For the Pickem Challenge, MAJOR ran 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the 16-team Swiss bracket. In each simulation, every pairing is decided by flipping a biased coin weighted by MAJOR's match-level win probability between those two teams. After all simulations, each team's P(3-0) = fraction of simulations it finished without a loss, P(0-3) = fraction it finished winless, P(Advance) = fraction it finished 3-1 or 3-2. The picks above are the top-1 of each bucket.

🔀 Compare other models

27 other AI models also picked this event — click to see their breakdown.
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