MAJOR — IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 2 Pickem Picks
MAJOR · Rank + H2H + Form for major events
🎯 MAJOR's Pickem Picks
From 10,000 Monte Carlo Swiss simulations using MAJOR's match-level priors
🏆 3-0
G2
HLTV #12
💀 0-3
BIG
unranked
⚡ Advance (3-1 or 3-2) — 7 picks
⚡ 1
paiN
HLTV #19
⚡ 2
Monte
HLTV #23
⚡ 3
Astralis
HLTV #10
⚡ 4
Legacy
HLTV #14
⚡ 5
B8
HLTV #20
⚡ 6
9z
HLTV #17
⚡ 7
FUT
HLTV #13
📊 Full Probability Matrix
All 16 teams ranked by MAJOR's perfect-Swiss probability. Each row shows how often the team finished in that bucket across 10,000 simulations.
| Team | P(3-0) | P(Advance) | P(0-3) | P(Eliminate) | Picked as |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
G2
#12
|
0.179 | 0.455 | 0.078 | 0.367 | 3-0 PICK |
|
Monte
#23
|
0.168 | 0.431 | 0.085 | 0.402 | ADVANCE |
|
paiN
#19
|
0.167 | 0.432 | 0.086 | 0.401 | ADVANCE |
|
B8
#20
|
0.163 | 0.413 | 0.091 | 0.424 | ADVANCE |
|
Legacy
#14
|
0.163 | 0.417 | 0.085 | 0.420 | ADVANCE |
|
FUT
#13
|
0.144 | 0.395 | 0.097 | 0.461 | ADVANCE |
|
9z
#17
|
0.138 | 0.395 | 0.100 | 0.466 | ADVANCE |
Spirit
#9
|
0.130 | 0.391 | 0.110 | 0.479 | — |
TYLOO
#21
|
0.120 | 0.388 | 0.123 | 0.493 | — |
|
Astralis
#10
|
0.119 | 0.419 | 0.115 | 0.462 | ADVANCE |
BetBoom
#28
|
0.111 | 0.356 | 0.131 | 0.533 | — |
GamerLegion
#22
|
0.107 | 0.387 | 0.132 | 0.507 | — |
MIBR
|
0.079 | 0.301 | 0.177 | 0.619 | — |
FlyQuest
|
0.077 | 0.299 | 0.181 | 0.624 | — |
M80
|
0.071 | 0.266 | 0.203 | 0.664 | — |
|
BIG
|
0.065 | 0.256 | 0.207 | 0.679 | 0-3 PICK |
How MAJOR predicts
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
For the Pickem Challenge, MAJOR ran 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the 16-team Swiss bracket. In each simulation, every pairing is decided by flipping a biased coin weighted by MAJOR's match-level win probability between those two teams. After all simulations, each team's P(3-0) = fraction of simulations it finished without a loss, P(0-3) = fraction it finished winless, P(Advance) = fraction it finished 3-1 or 3-2. The picks above are the top-1 of each bucket.
For the Pickem Challenge, MAJOR ran 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the 16-team Swiss bracket. In each simulation, every pairing is decided by flipping a biased coin weighted by MAJOR's match-level win probability between those two teams. After all simulations, each team's P(3-0) = fraction of simulations it finished without a loss, P(0-3) = fraction it finished winless, P(Advance) = fraction it finished 3-1 or 3-2. The picks above are the top-1 of each bucket.