WR10COMBO — IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 2 Pickem Picks
WR10C · Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
🎯 WR10COMBO's Pickem Picks
From 10,000 Monte Carlo Swiss simulations using WR10COMBO's match-level priors
🏆 3-0
Spirit
HLTV #9
💀 0-3
FlyQuest
unranked
⚡ Advance (3-1 or 3-2) — 7 picks
⚡ 1
Astralis
HLTV #10
⚡ 2
GamerLegion
HLTV #22
⚡ 3
Legacy
HLTV #14
⚡ 4
Monte
HLTV #23
⚡ 5
FUT
HLTV #13
⚡ 6
G2
HLTV #12
⚡ 7
paiN
HLTV #19
📊 Full Probability Matrix
All 16 teams ranked by WR10COMBO's perfect-Swiss probability. Each row shows how often the team finished in that bucket across 10,000 simulations.
| Team | P(3-0) | P(Advance) | P(0-3) | P(Eliminate) | Picked as |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Spirit
#9
|
0.344 | 0.514 | 0.018 | 0.142 | 3-0 PICK |
|
Legacy
#14
|
0.272 | 0.529 | 0.026 | 0.199 | ADVANCE |
|
Astralis
#10
|
0.262 | 0.589 | 0.025 | 0.148 | ADVANCE |
|
GamerLegion
#22
|
0.231 | 0.570 | 0.035 | 0.199 | ADVANCE |
|
FUT
#13
|
0.156 | 0.494 | 0.055 | 0.350 | ADVANCE |
|
G2
#12
|
0.148 | 0.478 | 0.061 | 0.374 | ADVANCE |
|
Monte
#23
|
0.137 | 0.494 | 0.067 | 0.369 | ADVANCE |
|
paiN
#19
|
0.104 | 0.432 | 0.097 | 0.464 | ADVANCE |
B8
#20
|
0.079 | 0.346 | 0.119 | 0.576 | — |
9z
#17
|
0.048 | 0.252 | 0.172 | 0.700 | — |
MIBR
|
0.046 | 0.291 | 0.174 | 0.663 | — |
BetBoom
#28
|
0.045 | 0.285 | 0.194 | 0.670 | — |
TYLOO
#21
|
0.036 | 0.218 | 0.224 | 0.746 | — |
M80
|
0.033 | 0.205 | 0.233 | 0.763 | — |
BIG
|
0.032 | 0.146 | 0.241 | 0.823 | — |
|
FlyQuest
|
0.028 | 0.158 | 0.258 | 0.814 | 0-3 PICK |
How WR10COMBO predicts
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
For the Pickem Challenge, WR10COMBO ran 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the 16-team Swiss bracket. In each simulation, every pairing is decided by flipping a biased coin weighted by WR10COMBO's match-level win probability between those two teams. After all simulations, each team's P(3-0) = fraction of simulations it finished without a loss, P(0-3) = fraction it finished winless, P(Advance) = fraction it finished 3-1 or 3-2. The picks above are the top-1 of each bucket.
For the Pickem Challenge, WR10COMBO ran 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the 16-team Swiss bracket. In each simulation, every pairing is decided by flipping a biased coin weighted by WR10COMBO's match-level win probability between those two teams. After all simulations, each team's P(3-0) = fraction of simulations it finished without a loss, P(0-3) = fraction it finished winless, P(Advance) = fraction it finished 3-1 or 3-2. The picks above are the top-1 of each bucket.