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← Back to IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 2 Pickem overview

WR10COMBO — IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 2 Pickem Picks

WR10C · Win rate top-10 + ELO + form

🎯 WR10COMBO's Pickem Picks

From 10,000 Monte Carlo Swiss simulations using WR10COMBO's match-level priors
🏆 3-0
Spirit
HLTV #9
3% confidence
💀 0-3
FlyQuest
unranked
3% confidence
⚡ Advance (3-1 or 3-2) — 7 picks
⚡ 1
Astralis
HLTV #10
6% advance
⚡ 2
GamerLegion
HLTV #22
6% advance
⚡ 3
Legacy
HLTV #14
5% advance
⚡ 4
Monte
HLTV #23
5% advance
⚡ 5
FUT
HLTV #13
5% advance
⚡ 6
G2
HLTV #12
5% advance
⚡ 7
paiN
HLTV #19
4% advance

📊 Full Probability Matrix

All 16 teams ranked by WR10COMBO's perfect-Swiss probability. Each row shows how often the team finished in that bucket across 10,000 simulations.
Team P(3-0) P(Advance) P(0-3) P(Eliminate) Picked as
Spirit #9 0.344 0.514 0.018 0.142 3-0 PICK
Legacy #14 0.272 0.529 0.026 0.199 ADVANCE
Astralis #10 0.262 0.589 0.025 0.148 ADVANCE
GamerLegion #22 0.231 0.570 0.035 0.199 ADVANCE
FUT #13 0.156 0.494 0.055 0.350 ADVANCE
G2 #12 0.148 0.478 0.061 0.374 ADVANCE
Monte #23 0.137 0.494 0.067 0.369 ADVANCE
paiN #19 0.104 0.432 0.097 0.464 ADVANCE
B8 #20 0.079 0.346 0.119 0.576
9z #17 0.048 0.252 0.172 0.700
MIBR 0.046 0.291 0.174 0.663
BetBoom #28 0.045 0.285 0.194 0.670
TYLOO #21 0.036 0.218 0.224 0.746
M80 0.033 0.205 0.233 0.763
BIG 0.032 0.146 0.241 0.823
FlyQuest 0.028 0.158 0.258 0.814 0-3 PICK

How WR10COMBO predicts

Win rate top-10 + ELO + form

For the Pickem Challenge, WR10COMBO ran 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the 16-team Swiss bracket. In each simulation, every pairing is decided by flipping a biased coin weighted by WR10COMBO's match-level win probability between those two teams. After all simulations, each team's P(3-0) = fraction of simulations it finished without a loss, P(0-3) = fraction it finished winless, P(Advance) = fraction it finished 3-1 or 3-2. The picks above are the top-1 of each bucket.

🔀 Compare other models

27 other AI models also picked this event — click to see their breakdown.
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