WR10PURE — IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 2 Pickem Picks
WR10P · Pure win rate vs top-10
🎯 WR10PURE's Pickem Picks
From 10,000 Monte Carlo Swiss simulations using WR10PURE's match-level priors
🏆 3-0
GamerLegion
HLTV #22
💀 0-3
TYLOO
HLTV #21
⚡ Advance (3-1 or 3-2) — 7 picks
⚡ 1
Spirit
HLTV #9
⚡ 2
Legacy
HLTV #14
⚡ 3
Astralis
HLTV #10
⚡ 4
BetBoom
HLTV #28
⚡ 5
MIBR
unranked
⚡ 6
FUT
HLTV #13
⚡ 7
Monte
HLTV #23
📊 Full Probability Matrix
All 16 teams ranked by WR10PURE's perfect-Swiss probability. Each row shows how often the team finished in that bucket across 10,000 simulations.
| Team | P(3-0) | P(Advance) | P(0-3) | P(Eliminate) | Picked as |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
GamerLegion
#22
|
0.244 | 0.482 | 0.042 | 0.274 | 3-0 PICK |
|
Spirit
#9
|
0.223 | 0.537 | 0.048 | 0.240 | ADVANCE |
|
Astralis
#10
|
0.202 | 0.506 | 0.051 | 0.292 | ADVANCE |
|
Legacy
#14
|
0.190 | 0.521 | 0.057 | 0.289 | ADVANCE |
|
BetBoom
#28
|
0.174 | 0.487 | 0.069 | 0.339 | ADVANCE |
|
FUT
#13
|
0.173 | 0.466 | 0.063 | 0.361 | ADVANCE |
|
MIBR
|
0.164 | 0.486 | 0.068 | 0.350 | ADVANCE |
|
Monte
#23
|
0.129 | 0.448 | 0.093 | 0.423 | ADVANCE |
B8
#20
|
0.098 | 0.339 | 0.136 | 0.563 | — |
BIG
|
0.074 | 0.283 | 0.148 | 0.643 | — |
G2
#12
|
0.073 | 0.279 | 0.156 | 0.648 | — |
FlyQuest
|
0.064 | 0.256 | 0.187 | 0.680 | — |
M80
|
0.053 | 0.257 | 0.212 | 0.690 | — |
9z
#17
|
0.051 | 0.238 | 0.213 | 0.711 | — |
|
TYLOO
#21
|
0.045 | 0.186 | 0.233 | 0.769 | 0-3 PICK |
paiN
#19
|
0.042 | 0.231 | 0.223 | 0.727 | — |
How WR10PURE predicts
Pure win rate vs top-10
For the Pickem Challenge, WR10PURE ran 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the 16-team Swiss bracket. In each simulation, every pairing is decided by flipping a biased coin weighted by WR10PURE's match-level win probability between those two teams. After all simulations, each team's P(3-0) = fraction of simulations it finished without a loss, P(0-3) = fraction it finished winless, P(Advance) = fraction it finished 3-1 or 3-2. The picks above are the top-1 of each bucket.
For the Pickem Challenge, WR10PURE ran 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the 16-team Swiss bracket. In each simulation, every pairing is decided by flipping a biased coin weighted by WR10PURE's match-level win probability between those two teams. After all simulations, each team's P(3-0) = fraction of simulations it finished without a loss, P(0-3) = fraction it finished winless, P(Advance) = fraction it finished 3-1 or 3-2. The picks above are the top-1 of each bucket.