WR10 — IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 2 Pickem Picks
WR10 · Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
🎯 WR10's Pickem Picks
From 10,000 Monte Carlo Swiss simulations using WR10's match-level priors
🏆 3-0
Legacy
HLTV #14
💀 0-3
M80
unranked
⚡ Advance (3-1 or 3-2) — 7 picks
⚡ 1
Astralis
HLTV #10
⚡ 2
G2
HLTV #12
⚡ 3
Monte
HLTV #23
⚡ 4
Spirit
HLTV #9
⚡ 5
GamerLegion
HLTV #22
⚡ 6
B8
HLTV #20
⚡ 7
FUT
HLTV #13
📊 Full Probability Matrix
All 16 teams ranked by WR10's perfect-Swiss probability. Each row shows how often the team finished in that bucket across 10,000 simulations.
| Team | P(3-0) | P(Advance) | P(0-3) | P(Eliminate) | Picked as |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Legacy
#14
|
0.153 | 0.421 | 0.088 | 0.425 | 3-0 PICK |
|
Monte
#23
|
0.153 | 0.415 | 0.096 | 0.432 | ADVANCE |
|
G2
#12
|
0.151 | 0.416 | 0.095 | 0.432 | ADVANCE |
|
FUT
#13
|
0.150 | 0.399 | 0.097 | 0.451 | ADVANCE |
|
B8
#20
|
0.147 | 0.401 | 0.102 | 0.452 | ADVANCE |
|
Astralis
#10
|
0.146 | 0.423 | 0.097 | 0.432 | ADVANCE |
|
Spirit
#9
|
0.144 | 0.411 | 0.101 | 0.445 | ADVANCE |
paiN
#19
|
0.132 | 0.388 | 0.116 | 0.480 | — |
9z
#17
|
0.130 | 0.374 | 0.121 | 0.497 | — |
BetBoom
#28
|
0.129 | 0.377 | 0.121 | 0.495 | — |
|
GamerLegion
#22
|
0.128 | 0.408 | 0.112 | 0.463 | ADVANCE |
TYLOO
#21
|
0.113 | 0.357 | 0.137 | 0.529 | — |
MIBR
|
0.092 | 0.343 | 0.152 | 0.565 | — |
BIG
|
0.084 | 0.302 | 0.174 | 0.614 | — |
FlyQuest
|
0.083 | 0.297 | 0.183 | 0.620 | — |
|
M80
|
0.066 | 0.267 | 0.207 | 0.668 | 0-3 PICK |
How WR10 predicts
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
For the Pickem Challenge, WR10 ran 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the 16-team Swiss bracket. In each simulation, every pairing is decided by flipping a biased coin weighted by WR10's match-level win probability between those two teams. After all simulations, each team's P(3-0) = fraction of simulations it finished without a loss, P(0-3) = fraction it finished winless, P(Advance) = fraction it finished 3-1 or 3-2. The picks above are the top-1 of each bucket.
For the Pickem Challenge, WR10 ran 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the 16-team Swiss bracket. In each simulation, every pairing is decided by flipping a biased coin weighted by WR10's match-level win probability between those two teams. After all simulations, each team's P(3-0) = fraction of simulations it finished without a loss, P(0-3) = fraction it finished winless, P(Advance) = fraction it finished 3-1 or 3-2. The picks above are the top-1 of each bucket.