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← Back to IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 2 Pickem overview

WR10 — IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 2 Pickem Picks

WR10 · Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10

🎯 WR10's Pickem Picks

From 10,000 Monte Carlo Swiss simulations using WR10's match-level priors
🏆 3-0
Legacy
HLTV #14
2% confidence
💀 0-3
M80
unranked
2% confidence
⚡ Advance (3-1 or 3-2) — 7 picks
⚡ 1
Astralis
HLTV #10
4% advance
⚡ 2
G2
HLTV #12
4% advance
⚡ 3
Monte
HLTV #23
4% advance
⚡ 4
Spirit
HLTV #9
4% advance
⚡ 5
GamerLegion
HLTV #22
4% advance
⚡ 6
B8
HLTV #20
4% advance
⚡ 7
FUT
HLTV #13
4% advance

📊 Full Probability Matrix

All 16 teams ranked by WR10's perfect-Swiss probability. Each row shows how often the team finished in that bucket across 10,000 simulations.
Team P(3-0) P(Advance) P(0-3) P(Eliminate) Picked as
Legacy #14 0.153 0.421 0.088 0.425 3-0 PICK
Monte #23 0.153 0.415 0.096 0.432 ADVANCE
G2 #12 0.151 0.416 0.095 0.432 ADVANCE
FUT #13 0.150 0.399 0.097 0.451 ADVANCE
B8 #20 0.147 0.401 0.102 0.452 ADVANCE
Astralis #10 0.146 0.423 0.097 0.432 ADVANCE
Spirit #9 0.144 0.411 0.101 0.445 ADVANCE
paiN #19 0.132 0.388 0.116 0.480
9z #17 0.130 0.374 0.121 0.497
BetBoom #28 0.129 0.377 0.121 0.495
GamerLegion #22 0.128 0.408 0.112 0.463 ADVANCE
TYLOO #21 0.113 0.357 0.137 0.529
MIBR 0.092 0.343 0.152 0.565
BIG 0.084 0.302 0.174 0.614
FlyQuest 0.083 0.297 0.183 0.620
M80 0.066 0.267 0.207 0.668 0-3 PICK

How WR10 predicts

Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10

For the Pickem Challenge, WR10 ran 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the 16-team Swiss bracket. In each simulation, every pairing is decided by flipping a biased coin weighted by WR10's match-level win probability between those two teams. After all simulations, each team's P(3-0) = fraction of simulations it finished without a loss, P(0-3) = fraction it finished winless, P(Advance) = fraction it finished 3-1 or 3-2. The picks above are the top-1 of each bucket.

🔀 Compare other models

27 other AI models also picked this event — click to see their breakdown.
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