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← Back to IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 2 Pickem overview

SOS — IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 2 Pickem Picks

SOS · Rank + form + opponent strength

🎯 SOS's Pickem Picks

From 10,000 Monte Carlo Swiss simulations using SOS's match-level priors
🏆 3-0
paiN
HLTV #19
2% confidence
💀 0-3
MIBR
unranked
2% confidence
⚡ Advance (3-1 or 3-2) — 7 picks
⚡ 1
G2
HLTV #12
4% advance
⚡ 2
Monte
HLTV #23
4% advance
⚡ 3
Astralis
HLTV #10
4% advance
⚡ 4
Legacy
HLTV #14
4% advance
⚡ 5
TYLOO
HLTV #21
4% advance
⚡ 6
B8
HLTV #20
4% advance
⚡ 7
9z
HLTV #17
4% advance

📊 Full Probability Matrix

All 16 teams ranked by SOS's perfect-Swiss probability. Each row shows how often the team finished in that bucket across 10,000 simulations.
Team P(3-0) P(Advance) P(0-3) P(Eliminate) Picked as
paiN #19 0.201 0.455 0.068 0.343 3-0 PICK
G2 #12 0.176 0.449 0.080 0.375 ADVANCE
Legacy #14 0.167 0.420 0.083 0.413 ADVANCE
Monte #23 0.161 0.443 0.086 0.396 ADVANCE
Astralis #10 0.146 0.436 0.096 0.418 ADVANCE
9z #17 0.145 0.389 0.103 0.466 ADVANCE
B8 #20 0.129 0.390 0.117 0.481 ADVANCE
FUT #13 0.126 0.373 0.109 0.502
TYLOO #21 0.124 0.401 0.122 0.475 ADVANCE
FlyQuest 0.116 0.365 0.131 0.519
Spirit #9 0.115 0.351 0.124 0.533
BIG 0.089 0.327 0.160 0.584
BetBoom #28 0.084 0.298 0.166 0.618
GamerLegion #22 0.079 0.319 0.184 0.602
M80 0.074 0.292 0.180 0.634
MIBR 0.069 0.292 0.190 0.639 0-3 PICK

How SOS predicts

Rank + form + opponent strength

For the Pickem Challenge, SOS ran 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the 16-team Swiss bracket. In each simulation, every pairing is decided by flipping a biased coin weighted by SOS's match-level win probability between those two teams. After all simulations, each team's P(3-0) = fraction of simulations it finished without a loss, P(0-3) = fraction it finished winless, P(Advance) = fraction it finished 3-1 or 3-2. The picks above are the top-1 of each bucket.

🔀 Compare other models

27 other AI models also picked this event — click to see their breakdown.
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