MIND — IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 2 Pickem Picks
MIND · Psychology + tilt + H2H
🎯 MIND's Pickem Picks
From 10,000 Monte Carlo Swiss simulations using MIND's match-level priors
🏆 3-0
Astralis
HLTV #10
💀 0-3
FlyQuest
unranked
⚡ Advance (3-1 or 3-2) — 7 picks
⚡ 1
GamerLegion
HLTV #22
⚡ 2
Legacy
HLTV #14
⚡ 3
Spirit
HLTV #9
⚡ 4
FUT
HLTV #13
⚡ 5
MIBR
unranked
⚡ 6
Monte
HLTV #23
⚡ 7
BetBoom
HLTV #28
📊 Full Probability Matrix
All 16 teams ranked by MIND's perfect-Swiss probability. Each row shows how often the team finished in that bucket across 10,000 simulations.
| Team | P(3-0) | P(Advance) | P(0-3) | P(Eliminate) | Picked as |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Astralis
#10
|
0.219 | 0.483 | 0.060 | 0.298 | 3-0 PICK |
|
GamerLegion
#22
|
0.195 | 0.473 | 0.068 | 0.333 | ADVANCE |
|
Spirit
#9
|
0.181 | 0.442 | 0.078 | 0.377 | ADVANCE |
|
FUT
#13
|
0.161 | 0.435 | 0.087 | 0.404 | ADVANCE |
|
Legacy
#14
|
0.160 | 0.448 | 0.089 | 0.392 | ADVANCE |
|
MIBR
|
0.118 | 0.387 | 0.119 | 0.494 | ADVANCE |
TYLOO
#21
|
0.116 | 0.369 | 0.126 | 0.515 | — |
|
Monte
#23
|
0.115 | 0.384 | 0.130 | 0.501 | ADVANCE |
|
BetBoom
#28
|
0.110 | 0.378 | 0.127 | 0.512 | ADVANCE |
G2
#12
|
0.103 | 0.351 | 0.140 | 0.546 | — |
9z
#17
|
0.099 | 0.325 | 0.153 | 0.576 | — |
paiN
#19
|
0.098 | 0.350 | 0.142 | 0.552 | — |
M80
|
0.089 | 0.337 | 0.154 | 0.575 | — |
B8
#20
|
0.088 | 0.299 | 0.162 | 0.613 | — |
BIG
|
0.079 | 0.297 | 0.170 | 0.625 | — |
|
FlyQuest
|
0.070 | 0.242 | 0.197 | 0.688 | 0-3 PICK |
How MIND predicts
Psychology + tilt + H2H
For the Pickem Challenge, MIND ran 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the 16-team Swiss bracket. In each simulation, every pairing is decided by flipping a biased coin weighted by MIND's match-level win probability between those two teams. After all simulations, each team's P(3-0) = fraction of simulations it finished without a loss, P(0-3) = fraction it finished winless, P(Advance) = fraction it finished 3-1 or 3-2. The picks above are the top-1 of each bucket.
For the Pickem Challenge, MIND ran 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the 16-team Swiss bracket. In each simulation, every pairing is decided by flipping a biased coin weighted by MIND's match-level win probability between those two teams. After all simulations, each team's P(3-0) = fraction of simulations it finished without a loss, P(0-3) = fraction it finished winless, P(Advance) = fraction it finished 3-1 or 3-2. The picks above are the top-1 of each bucket.