STREAK — IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 2 Pickem Picks
STREAK · Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
🎯 STREAK's Pickem Picks
From 10,000 Monte Carlo Swiss simulations using STREAK's match-level priors
🏆 3-0
GamerLegion
HLTV #22
💀 0-3
BIG
unranked
⚡ Advance (3-1 or 3-2) — 7 picks
⚡ 1
G2
HLTV #12
⚡ 2
paiN
HLTV #19
⚡ 3
TYLOO
HLTV #21
⚡ 4
9z
HLTV #17
⚡ 5
Monte
HLTV #23
⚡ 6
Astralis
HLTV #10
⚡ 7
Legacy
HLTV #14
📊 Full Probability Matrix
All 16 teams ranked by STREAK's perfect-Swiss probability. Each row shows how often the team finished in that bucket across 10,000 simulations.
| Team | P(3-0) | P(Advance) | P(0-3) | P(Eliminate) | Picked as |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
GamerLegion
#22
|
0.161 | 0.427 | 0.096 | 0.412 | 3-0 PICK |
|
9z
#17
|
0.157 | 0.409 | 0.098 | 0.434 | ADVANCE |
|
Monte
#23
|
0.147 | 0.402 | 0.101 | 0.451 | ADVANCE |
|
TYLOO
#21
|
0.146 | 0.411 | 0.109 | 0.444 | ADVANCE |
|
paiN
#19
|
0.140 | 0.411 | 0.109 | 0.449 | ADVANCE |
|
G2
#12
|
0.139 | 0.423 | 0.107 | 0.438 | ADVANCE |
B8
#20
|
0.136 | 0.386 | 0.114 | 0.478 | — |
|
Legacy
#14
|
0.133 | 0.395 | 0.111 | 0.472 | ADVANCE |
|
Astralis
#10
|
0.127 | 0.398 | 0.120 | 0.475 | ADVANCE |
FUT
#13
|
0.123 | 0.375 | 0.121 | 0.502 | — |
Spirit
#9
|
0.123 | 0.389 | 0.114 | 0.488 | — |
BetBoom
#28
|
0.113 | 0.343 | 0.140 | 0.544 | — |
MIBR
|
0.094 | 0.326 | 0.150 | 0.579 | — |
M80
|
0.092 | 0.304 | 0.164 | 0.605 | — |
FlyQuest
|
0.086 | 0.307 | 0.168 | 0.607 | — |
|
BIG
|
0.083 | 0.295 | 0.179 | 0.621 | 0-3 PICK |
How STREAK predicts
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
For the Pickem Challenge, STREAK ran 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the 16-team Swiss bracket. In each simulation, every pairing is decided by flipping a biased coin weighted by STREAK's match-level win probability between those two teams. After all simulations, each team's P(3-0) = fraction of simulations it finished without a loss, P(0-3) = fraction it finished winless, P(Advance) = fraction it finished 3-1 or 3-2. The picks above are the top-1 of each bucket.
For the Pickem Challenge, STREAK ran 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the 16-team Swiss bracket. In each simulation, every pairing is decided by flipping a biased coin weighted by STREAK's match-level win probability between those two teams. After all simulations, each team's P(3-0) = fraction of simulations it finished without a loss, P(0-3) = fraction it finished winless, P(Advance) = fraction it finished 3-1 or 3-2. The picks above are the top-1 of each bucket.