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← Back to IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 2 Pickem overview

STREAK — IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 2 Pickem Picks

STREAK · Rank + H2H + win/loss streak

🎯 STREAK's Pickem Picks

From 10,000 Monte Carlo Swiss simulations using STREAK's match-level priors
🏆 3-0
GamerLegion
HLTV #22
2% confidence
💀 0-3
BIG
unranked
2% confidence
⚡ Advance (3-1 or 3-2) — 7 picks
⚡ 1
G2
HLTV #12
4% advance
⚡ 2
paiN
HLTV #19
4% advance
⚡ 3
TYLOO
HLTV #21
4% advance
⚡ 4
9z
HLTV #17
4% advance
⚡ 5
Monte
HLTV #23
4% advance
⚡ 6
Astralis
HLTV #10
4% advance
⚡ 7
Legacy
HLTV #14
4% advance

📊 Full Probability Matrix

All 16 teams ranked by STREAK's perfect-Swiss probability. Each row shows how often the team finished in that bucket across 10,000 simulations.
Team P(3-0) P(Advance) P(0-3) P(Eliminate) Picked as
GamerLegion #22 0.161 0.427 0.096 0.412 3-0 PICK
9z #17 0.157 0.409 0.098 0.434 ADVANCE
Monte #23 0.147 0.402 0.101 0.451 ADVANCE
TYLOO #21 0.146 0.411 0.109 0.444 ADVANCE
paiN #19 0.140 0.411 0.109 0.449 ADVANCE
G2 #12 0.139 0.423 0.107 0.438 ADVANCE
B8 #20 0.136 0.386 0.114 0.478
Legacy #14 0.133 0.395 0.111 0.472 ADVANCE
Astralis #10 0.127 0.398 0.120 0.475 ADVANCE
FUT #13 0.123 0.375 0.121 0.502
Spirit #9 0.123 0.389 0.114 0.488
BetBoom #28 0.113 0.343 0.140 0.544
MIBR 0.094 0.326 0.150 0.579
M80 0.092 0.304 0.164 0.605
FlyQuest 0.086 0.307 0.168 0.607
BIG 0.083 0.295 0.179 0.621 0-3 PICK

How STREAK predicts

Rank + H2H + win/loss streak

For the Pickem Challenge, STREAK ran 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the 16-team Swiss bracket. In each simulation, every pairing is decided by flipping a biased coin weighted by STREAK's match-level win probability between those two teams. After all simulations, each team's P(3-0) = fraction of simulations it finished without a loss, P(0-3) = fraction it finished winless, P(Advance) = fraction it finished 3-1 or 3-2. The picks above are the top-1 of each bucket.

🔀 Compare other models

27 other AI models also picked this event — click to see their breakdown.
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