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← Back to IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 2 Pickem overview

ORACLE — IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 2 Pickem Picks

ORACLE · ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS

🎯 ORACLE's Pickem Picks

From 10,000 Monte Carlo Swiss simulations using ORACLE's match-level priors
🏆 3-0
paiN
HLTV #19
3% confidence
💀 0-3
GamerLegion
HLTV #22
4% confidence
⚡ Advance (3-1 or 3-2) — 7 picks
⚡ 1
TYLOO
HLTV #21
5% advance
⚡ 2
Astralis
HLTV #10
5% advance
⚡ 3
BIG
unranked
4% advance
⚡ 4
9z
HLTV #17
4% advance
⚡ 5
FlyQuest
unranked
4% advance
⚡ 6
Monte
HLTV #23
4% advance
⚡ 7
B8
HLTV #20
4% advance

📊 Full Probability Matrix

All 16 teams ranked by ORACLE's perfect-Swiss probability. Each row shows how often the team finished in that bucket across 10,000 simulations.
Team P(3-0) P(Advance) P(0-3) P(Eliminate) Picked as
paiN #19 0.251 0.463 0.040 0.286 3-0 PICK
TYLOO #21 0.196 0.471 0.059 0.333 ADVANCE
Astralis #10 0.187 0.468 0.061 0.345 ADVANCE
Legacy #14 0.141 0.374 0.095 0.486
9z #17 0.137 0.435 0.085 0.428 ADVANCE
BIG 0.136 0.448 0.085 0.416 ADVANCE
FlyQuest 0.133 0.434 0.082 0.433 ADVANCE
B8 #20 0.130 0.408 0.097 0.463 ADVANCE
FUT #13 0.121 0.378 0.113 0.501
BetBoom #28 0.117 0.372 0.115 0.511
M80 0.116 0.401 0.097 0.483
Monte #23 0.115 0.428 0.105 0.457 ADVANCE
Spirit #9 0.082 0.295 0.165 0.623
G2 #12 0.080 0.310 0.160 0.611
MIBR 0.043 0.212 0.240 0.745
GamerLegion #22 0.016 0.105 0.400 0.879 0-3 PICK

How ORACLE predicts

ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS

For the Pickem Challenge, ORACLE ran 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the 16-team Swiss bracket. In each simulation, every pairing is decided by flipping a biased coin weighted by ORACLE's match-level win probability between those two teams. After all simulations, each team's P(3-0) = fraction of simulations it finished without a loss, P(0-3) = fraction it finished winless, P(Advance) = fraction it finished 3-1 or 3-2. The picks above are the top-1 of each bucket.

🔀 Compare other models

27 other AI models also picked this event — click to see their breakdown.
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