IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 1 — Pickem Predictions
Completed
· Swiss starts Jun 02, 10:00 UTC
· 27 AI models
🎯 Final Standings
Actual Swiss outcomes per team — with how many AI models picked them for the matching Pickem role
3-1
Advanced (3-1)
3-2
Advanced (3-2)
2-3
Eliminated (2-3)
Lynn Vision
No scoring role
Liquid
No scoring role
NRG
No scoring role
1-3
Eliminated (1-3)
HEROIC
No scoring role
Sharks
No scoring role
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
No scoring role
🏆 Final Model Scores
HLTV scoring: 4 pts per correct 3-0/0-3 + 1 pt per correct advancer (max 15)
| # | Model | Score | 3-0 | 0-3 | Advance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🥇 | SENTINEL → | 6/15 | ✓ | ✗ | 2/7 |
| 🥈 | WR10COMBO → | 5/15 | ✗ | ✓ | 1/7 |
| 🥉 | HIGHORACLE → | 4/15 | ✗ | ✗ | 4/7 |
| #4 | EAGLE → | 4/15 | ✗ | ✗ | 4/7 |
| #5 | SQUAD → | 4/15 | ✗ | ✗ | 4/7 |
| #6 | NEXUS → | 4/15 | ✗ | ✗ | 4/7 |
| #7 | ORACLE → | 4/15 | ✗ | ✗ | 4/7 |
| #8 | MIND → | 3/15 | ✗ | ✗ | 3/7 |
| #9 | TRIBUNAL → | 3/15 | ✗ | ✗ | 3/7 |
| #10 | ELOFACE → | 3/15 | ✗ | ✗ | 3/7 |
| #11 | WR10 → | 3/15 | ✗ | ✗ | 3/7 |
| #12 | APEX → | 3/15 | ✗ | ✗ | 3/7 |
| #13 | ELO → | 3/15 | ✗ | ✗ | 3/7 |
| #14 | TIER3ELO → | 3/15 | ✗ | ✗ | 3/7 |
| #15 | WR10PURE → | 2/15 | ✗ | ✗ | 2/7 |
| #16 | ELOHQ → | 2/15 | ✗ | ✗ | 2/7 |
| #17 | MAJOR → | 2/15 | ✗ | ✗ | 2/7 |
| #18 | PHANTOM → | 2/15 | ✗ | ✗ | 2/7 |
| #19 | PRO → | 2/15 | ✗ | ✗ | 2/7 |
| #20 | SOS → | 2/15 | ✗ | ✗ | 2/7 |
| #21 | STRONGHOLD → | 2/15 | ✗ | ✗ | 2/7 |
| #22 | TIER2ELO → | 2/15 | ✗ | ✗ | 2/7 |
| #23 | TIERELO → | 2/15 | ✗ | ✗ | 2/7 |
| #24 | VANGUARD → | 2/15 | ✗ | ✗ | 2/7 |
| #25 | STREAK → | 1/15 | ✗ | ✗ | 1/7 |
| #26 | OPEN → | 1/15 | ✗ | ✗ | 1/7 |
| #27 | FORM → | 1/15 | ✗ | ✗ | 1/7 |
🔮 What Models Predicted vs Actual
Retrospective: top vote-getter per role across 27 models, with actual outcome stamp
🏆 3-0
4 pts · perfect Swiss
HEROIC
1-3
13/27 models agree
Also picked:
GamerLegion 4
Lynn Vision 3
THUNDER dOWNUNDER 2
💀 0-3
4 pts · winless
GamerLegion
3-1
6/27 models agree
Also picked:
BIG 5
M80 4
MIBR 3
⚡ Advance
1 pt × 7 · 3-1 or 3-2
TYLOO✓
21/27
B8✗
17/27
NRG✗
15/27
THUNDER dOWNUNDER✗
15/27
FlyQuest✓
14/27
Lynn Vision✗
13/27
Sharks✗
13/27
📊 Per-Model Picks
27 AI models ordered by their Pickem rank (cumulative points across prior Majors); models with no Pickem history yet fall back to match-accuracy order. Each card shows the model's 3-0 / 0-3 pick, its match-accuracy %, and its Pickem rank/pts. Click any card for full breakdown.
TIERELO
TIER
74.3% acc
🏆 #2 14 pts
3-0
HEROIC
13.5%
0-3
MIBR
13.8%
View full breakdown →
MIND
MIND
50.3% acc
🏆 #3 13 pts
3-0
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
21.1%
0-3
FlyQuest
21.7%
View full breakdown →
SENTINEL
SENTINEL
81.5% acc
🏆 #4 12 pts
3-0
B8
31.9%
0-3
BetBoom
24.7%
View full breakdown →
WR10COMBO
WR10C
63.7% acc
🏆 #5 12 pts
3-0
GamerLegion
33.1%
0-3
SINNERS
24.2%
View full breakdown →
VANGUARD
VANGUARD
84.0% acc
🏆 #6 10 pts
3-0
HEROIC
21.2%
0-3
M80
34.3%
View full breakdown →
TIER3ELO
TIER3
76.5% acc
🏆 #7 9 pts
3-0
GamerLegion
12.9%
0-3
MIBR
13.5%
View full breakdown →
TIER2ELO
TIER2
72.4% acc
🏆 #8 9 pts
3-0
HEROIC
14.0%
0-3
BIG
13.7%
View full breakdown →
FORM
FORM
54.6% acc
🏆 #9 9 pts
3-0
GamerLegion
35.6%
0-3
BIG
19.6%
View full breakdown →
ELO
ELO
65.3% acc
🏆 #10 9 pts
3-0
HEROIC
17.8%
0-3
Gaimin Gladiators
18.7%
View full breakdown →
TRIBUNAL
TRIBUNAL
83.3% acc
🏆 #11 9 pts
3-0
HEROIC
19.6%
0-3
BetBoom
21.1%
View full breakdown →
SOS
SOS
64.2% acc
🏆 #12 8 pts
3-0
HEROIC
22.9%
0-3
MIBR
19.5%
View full breakdown →
ELOHQ
ELOHQ
72.8% acc
🏆 #13 8 pts
3-0
Lynn Vision
13.9%
0-3
M80
14.5%
View full breakdown →
ELOFACE
ELOFACE
65.7% acc
🏆 #14 8 pts
3-0
HEROIC
15.8%
0-3
Gaimin Gladiators
15.8%
View full breakdown →
STREAK
STREAK
64.6% acc
🏆 #15 7 pts
3-0
TYLOO
19.0%
0-3
FlyQuest
18.4%
View full breakdown →
NEXUS
NEXUS
75.5% acc
🏆 #16 7 pts
3-0
HEROIC
28.5%
0-3
GamerLegion
39.8%
View full breakdown →
HIGHORACLE
HIGH-ORACLE
68.9% acc
🏆 #17 6 pts
3-0
HEROIC
35.4%
0-3
GamerLegion
42.5%
View full breakdown →
MAJOR
MAJOR
62.7% acc
🏆 #18 6 pts
3-0
HEROIC
21.9%
0-3
BIG
20.8%
View full breakdown →
ORACLE
ORACLE
63.9% acc
🏆 #19 6 pts
3-0
Lynn Vision
30.1%
0-3
GamerLegion
39.3%
View full breakdown →
PRO
XGPRO
62.4% acc
🏆 #20 5 pts
3-0
HEROIC
20.6%
0-3
BIG
20.0%
View full breakdown →
EAGLE
EAGLE
55.7% acc
🏆 #21 5 pts
3-0
Lynn Vision
25.0%
0-3
GamerLegion
33.2%
View full breakdown →
WR10
WR10
67.0% acc
🏆 #22 5 pts
3-0
HEROIC
19.4%
0-3
M80
19.6%
View full breakdown →
STRONGHOLD
STRONGHOLD
81.7% acc
🏆 #23 5 pts
3-0
HEROIC
26.6%
0-3
M80
38.2%
View full breakdown →
WR10PURE
WR10P
54.8% acc
🏆 #24 5 pts
3-0
BetBoom
28.9%
0-3
NRG
25.7%
View full breakdown →
PHANTOM
PHANTOM
64.1% acc
🏆 #25 5 pts
3-0
FlyQuest
23.2%
0-3
GamerLegion
28.1%
View full breakdown →
OPEN
OPEN
62.0% acc
🏆 #26 5 pts
3-0
GamerLegion
23.6%
0-3
BIG
20.0%
View full breakdown →
SQUAD
SQUAD
59.3% acc
🏆 #27 4 pts
3-0
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
33.6%
0-3
B8
41.8%
View full breakdown →
APEX
APEX
64.2% acc
🏆 #28 4 pts
3-0
BIG
22.7%
0-3
GamerLegion
43.8%
View full breakdown →
How AI predicts Pickem
Each of the 27 models on CS2PREDICT has its own match-prediction logic (ELO, recent form, head-to-head, etc.). For Pickem we run a Monte Carlo simulation of the 16-team Swiss bracket — 10,000 times per model — using the model's per-match win-probability for every potential pairing.
Each model's 3-0 pick is the team that finishes 3-0 most often in those simulations, 0-3 is the most-frequent winless team, advance picks are the 7 teams most likely to finish 3-1 or 3-2.
The consensus is a vote: which team did the most models pick for each slot.