EAGLE — IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 1 Pickem Picks
EAGLE · Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
🎯 EAGLE's Pickem Picks
From 10,000 Monte Carlo Swiss simulations using EAGLE's match-level priors
🏆 3-0
Lynn Vision
unranked
💀 0-3
GamerLegion
HLTV #22
⚡ Advance (3-1 or 3-2) — 7 picks
⚡ 1
FlyQuest
unranked
⚡ 2
B8
HLTV #20
⚡ 3
TYLOO
HLTV #21
⚡ 4
HEROIC
HLTV #16
⚡ 5
BIG
unranked
⚡ 6
BetBoom
HLTV #28
⚡ 7
M80
unranked
📊 Full Probability Matrix
All 16 teams ranked by EAGLE's perfect-Swiss probability. Each row shows how often the team finished in that bucket across 10,000 simulations.
| Team | P(3-0) | P(Advance) | P(0-3) | P(Eliminate) | Picked as |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Lynn Vision
|
0.250 | 0.481 | 0.046 | 0.269 | 3-0 PICK |
|
B8
#20
|
0.193 | 0.485 | 0.060 | 0.322 | ADVANCE |
|
FlyQuest
|
0.185 | 0.493 | 0.053 | 0.322 | ADVANCE |
|
HEROIC
#16
|
0.175 | 0.467 | 0.068 | 0.358 | ADVANCE |
|
BIG
|
0.174 | 0.429 | 0.073 | 0.397 | ADVANCE |
|
BetBoom
#28
|
0.154 | 0.428 | 0.083 | 0.419 | ADVANCE |
|
TYLOO
#21
|
0.149 | 0.477 | 0.081 | 0.374 | ADVANCE |
SINNERS
#27
|
0.141 | 0.389 | 0.077 | 0.470 | — |
NRG
#25
|
0.123 | 0.412 | 0.104 | 0.465 | — |
|
M80
|
0.120 | 0.415 | 0.115 | 0.465 | ADVANCE |
Liquid
#18
|
0.083 | 0.328 | 0.154 | 0.589 | — |
Sharks
|
0.078 | 0.289 | 0.145 | 0.633 | — |
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
|
0.054 | 0.260 | 0.184 | 0.686 | — |
Gaimin Gladiators
|
0.051 | 0.278 | 0.200 | 0.671 | — |
MIBR
|
0.047 | 0.230 | 0.225 | 0.723 | — |
|
GamerLegion
#22
|
0.023 | 0.141 | 0.332 | 0.837 | 0-3 PICK |
How EAGLE predicts
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
For the Pickem Challenge, EAGLE ran 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the 16-team Swiss bracket. In each simulation, every pairing is decided by flipping a biased coin weighted by EAGLE's match-level win probability between those two teams. After all simulations, each team's P(3-0) = fraction of simulations it finished without a loss, P(0-3) = fraction it finished winless, P(Advance) = fraction it finished 3-1 or 3-2. The picks above are the top-1 of each bucket.
For the Pickem Challenge, EAGLE ran 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the 16-team Swiss bracket. In each simulation, every pairing is decided by flipping a biased coin weighted by EAGLE's match-level win probability between those two teams. After all simulations, each team's P(3-0) = fraction of simulations it finished without a loss, P(0-3) = fraction it finished winless, P(Advance) = fraction it finished 3-1 or 3-2. The picks above are the top-1 of each bucket.