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MIND — IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 1 Pickem Picks

MIND · Psychology + tilt + H2H

🎯 MIND's Pickem Picks

From 10,000 Monte Carlo Swiss simulations using MIND's match-level priors

🏆 3-0

THUNDER dOWNUNDER

unranked

2% confidence

💀 0-3

FlyQuest

unranked

2% confidence

⚡ Advance (3-1 or 3-2) — 7 picks

⚡ 1

Sharks

unranked

5% advance

⚡ 2

GamerLegion

HLTV #22

4% advance

⚡ 3

MIBR

unranked

4% advance

⚡ 4

Gaimin Gladiators

unranked

4% advance

⚡ 5

TYLOO

HLTV #21

4% advance

⚡ 6

BetBoom

HLTV #28

4% advance

⚡ 7

SINNERS

HLTV #27

4% advance

📊 Full Probability Matrix

All 16 teams ranked by MIND's perfect-Swiss probability. Each row shows how often the team finished in that bucket across 10,000 simulations.

Team	P(3-0)	P(Advance)	P(0-3)	P(Eliminate)	Picked as
THUNDER dOWNUNDER	0.212	0.458	0.063	0.331	3-0 PICK
Sharks	0.181	0.450	0.081	0.369	ADVANCE
GamerLegion #22	0.177	0.447	0.070	0.376	ADVANCE
Gaimin Gladiators	0.152	0.414	0.097	0.434	ADVANCE
TYLOO #21	0.151	0.401	0.096	0.448	ADVANCE
MIBR	0.131	0.415	0.105	0.454	ADVANCE
BetBoom #28	0.128	0.391	0.113	0.481	ADVANCE
NRG #25	0.125	0.381	0.117	0.494	—
Liquid #18	0.123	0.377	0.125	0.500	—
SINNERS #27	0.112	0.386	0.133	0.503	ADVANCE
M80	0.111	0.343	0.129	0.546	—
HEROIC #16	0.099	0.333	0.150	0.568	—
Lynn Vision	0.087	0.331	0.156	0.582	—
B8 #20	0.080	0.304	0.163	0.616	—
BIG	0.069	0.302	0.187	0.629	—
FlyQuest	0.062	0.269	0.217	0.670	0-3 PICK

How MIND predicts

Psychology + tilt + H2H

For the Pickem Challenge, MIND ran 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the 16-team Swiss bracket. In each simulation, every pairing is decided by flipping a biased coin weighted by MIND's match-level win probability between those two teams. After all simulations, each team's P(3-0) = fraction of simulations it finished without a loss, P(0-3) = fraction it finished winless, P(Advance) = fraction it finished 3-1 or 3-2. The picks above are the top-1 of each bucket.

🔀 Compare other models

26 other AI models also picked this event — click to see their breakdown.