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Match Prediction Engine

MIND — IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 1 Pickem Picks

MIND · Psychology + tilt + H2H

🎯 MIND's Pickem Picks

From 10,000 Monte Carlo Swiss simulations using MIND's match-level priors
🏆 3-0
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
unranked
2% confidence
💀 0-3
FlyQuest
unranked
2% confidence
⚡ Advance (3-1 or 3-2) — 7 picks
⚡ 1
Sharks
unranked
5% advance
⚡ 2
GamerLegion
HLTV #22
4% advance
⚡ 3
MIBR
unranked
4% advance
⚡ 4
Gaimin Gladiators
unranked
4% advance
⚡ 5
TYLOO
HLTV #21
4% advance
⚡ 6
BetBoom
HLTV #28
4% advance
⚡ 7
SINNERS
HLTV #27
4% advance

📊 Full Probability Matrix

All 16 teams ranked by MIND's perfect-Swiss probability. Each row shows how often the team finished in that bucket across 10,000 simulations.
Team P(3-0) P(Advance) P(0-3) P(Eliminate) Picked as
THUNDER dOWNUNDER 0.212 0.458 0.063 0.331 3-0 PICK
Sharks 0.181 0.450 0.081 0.369 ADVANCE
GamerLegion #22 0.177 0.447 0.070 0.376 ADVANCE
Gaimin Gladiators 0.152 0.414 0.097 0.434 ADVANCE
TYLOO #21 0.151 0.401 0.096 0.448 ADVANCE
MIBR 0.131 0.415 0.105 0.454 ADVANCE
BetBoom #28 0.128 0.391 0.113 0.481 ADVANCE
NRG #25 0.125 0.381 0.117 0.494
Liquid #18 0.123 0.377 0.125 0.500
SINNERS #27 0.112 0.386 0.133 0.503 ADVANCE
M80 0.111 0.343 0.129 0.546
HEROIC #16 0.099 0.333 0.150 0.568
Lynn Vision 0.087 0.331 0.156 0.582
B8 #20 0.080 0.304 0.163 0.616
BIG 0.069 0.302 0.187 0.629
FlyQuest 0.062 0.269 0.217 0.670 0-3 PICK

How MIND predicts

Psychology + tilt + H2H

For the Pickem Challenge, MIND ran 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the 16-team Swiss bracket. In each simulation, every pairing is decided by flipping a biased coin weighted by MIND's match-level win probability between those two teams. After all simulations, each team's P(3-0) = fraction of simulations it finished without a loss, P(0-3) = fraction it finished winless, P(Advance) = fraction it finished 3-1 or 3-2. The picks above are the top-1 of each bucket.

🔀 Compare other models

26 other AI models also picked this event — click to see their breakdown.
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