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← Back to IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 1 Pickem overview

HIGHORACLE — IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 1 Pickem Picks

HIGH-ORACLE · Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)

🎯 HIGHORACLE's Pickem Picks

From 10,000 Monte Carlo Swiss simulations using HIGHORACLE's match-level priors
🏆 3-0
HEROIC 1-3
HLTV #16
4% confidence
💀 0-3
GamerLegion 3-1
HLTV #22
4% confidence
⚡ Advance (3-1 or 3-2) — 7 picks
⚡ 1
Lynn Vision 2-3
unranked
6% advance
⚡ 2
TYLOO ✓ 3-2
HLTV #21
5% advance
⚡ 3
BIG ✓ 3-2
unranked
5% advance
⚡ 4
SINNERS 0-3
HLTV #27
5% advance
⚡ 5
M80 ✓ 3-1
unranked
5% advance
⚡ 6
B8 3-0
HLTV #20
4% advance
⚡ 7
FlyQuest ✓ 3-2
unranked
4% advance

📊 Full Probability Matrix

All 16 teams ranked by HIGHORACLE's perfect-Swiss probability. Each row shows how often the team finished in that bucket across 10,000 simulations.
Team P(3-0) P(Advance) P(0-3) P(Eliminate) Picked as
HEROIC #16 0.354 0.534 0.011 0.113 3-0 PICK
SINNERS #27 0.322 0.518 0.009 0.161 ADVANCE
BIG 0.255 0.520 0.016 0.225 ADVANCE
Lynn Vision 0.221 0.559 0.027 0.220 ADVANCE
TYLOO #21 0.202 0.547 0.028 0.251 ADVANCE
M80 0.110 0.454 0.075 0.436 ADVANCE
Sharks 0.106 0.395 0.069 0.499
B8 #20 0.106 0.446 0.070 0.448 ADVANCE
BetBoom #28 0.079 0.302 0.117 0.619
FlyQuest 0.063 0.433 0.075 0.503 ADVANCE
Gaimin Gladiators 0.063 0.399 0.102 0.538
NRG #25 0.062 0.423 0.107 0.515
Liquid #18 0.022 0.137 0.270 0.841
MIBR 0.020 0.151 0.297 0.828
THUNDER dOWNUNDER 0.009 0.109 0.301 0.883
GamerLegion #22 0.006 0.073 0.425 0.921 0-3 PICK

How HIGHORACLE predicts

Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)

For the Pickem Challenge, HIGHORACLE ran 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the 16-team Swiss bracket. In each simulation, every pairing is decided by flipping a biased coin weighted by HIGHORACLE's match-level win probability between those two teams. After all simulations, each team's P(3-0) = fraction of simulations it finished without a loss, P(0-3) = fraction it finished winless, P(Advance) = fraction it finished 3-1 or 3-2. The picks above are the top-1 of each bucket.

🔀 Compare other models

26 other AI models also picked this event — click to see their breakdown.
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