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Match Prediction Engine

PRO — IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 1 Pickem Picks

XGPRO · Rank + H2H for top matches

🎯 PRO's Pickem Picks

From 10,000 Monte Carlo Swiss simulations using PRO's match-level priors
🏆 3-0
HEROIC
HLTV #16
2% confidence
💀 0-3
BIG
unranked
2% confidence
⚡ Advance (3-1 or 3-2) — 7 picks
⚡ 1
Liquid
HLTV #18
4% advance
⚡ 2
B8
HLTV #20
4% advance
⚡ 3
TYLOO
HLTV #21
4% advance
⚡ 4
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
unranked
4% advance
⚡ 5
SINNERS
HLTV #27
4% advance
⚡ 6
BetBoom
HLTV #28
4% advance
⚡ 7
GamerLegion
HLTV #22
4% advance

📊 Full Probability Matrix

All 16 teams ranked by PRO's perfect-Swiss probability. Each row shows how often the team finished in that bucket across 10,000 simulations.
Team P(3-0) P(Advance) P(0-3) P(Eliminate) Picked as
HEROIC #16 0.206 0.473 0.061 0.321 3-0 PICK
B8 #20 0.183 0.437 0.074 0.380 ADVANCE
THUNDER dOWNUNDER 0.181 0.429 0.078 0.391 ADVANCE
TYLOO #21 0.165 0.436 0.087 0.399 ADVANCE
Liquid #18 0.157 0.439 0.087 0.404 ADVANCE
SINNERS #27 0.143 0.419 0.097 0.438 ADVANCE
Sharks 0.130 0.377 0.109 0.493
GamerLegion #22 0.127 0.392 0.117 0.481 ADVANCE
BetBoom #28 0.119 0.401 0.120 0.480 ADVANCE
NRG #25 0.105 0.374 0.136 0.521
MIBR 0.096 0.342 0.148 0.563
Lynn Vision 0.090 0.308 0.156 0.602
FlyQuest 0.089 0.318 0.162 0.593
Gaimin Gladiators 0.077 0.286 0.175 0.637
M80 0.072 0.285 0.194 0.643
BIG 0.060 0.284 0.200 0.656 0-3 PICK

How PRO predicts

Rank + H2H for top matches

For the Pickem Challenge, PRO ran 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the 16-team Swiss bracket. In each simulation, every pairing is decided by flipping a biased coin weighted by PRO's match-level win probability between those two teams. After all simulations, each team's P(3-0) = fraction of simulations it finished without a loss, P(0-3) = fraction it finished winless, P(Advance) = fraction it finished 3-1 or 3-2. The picks above are the top-1 of each bucket.

🔀 Compare other models

26 other AI models also picked this event — click to see their breakdown.
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