PRO — IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 1 Pickem Picks
XGPRO · Rank + H2H for top matches
🎯 PRO's Pickem Picks
From 10,000 Monte Carlo Swiss simulations using PRO's match-level priors
🏆 3-0
HEROIC
1-3
HLTV #16
💀 0-3
BIG
3-2
unranked
⚡ Advance (3-1 or 3-2) — 7 picks
⚡ 1
Liquid
2-3
HLTV #18
⚡ 2
B8
3-0
HLTV #20
⚡ 3
TYLOO
✓ 3-2
HLTV #21
⚡ 4
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
1-3
unranked
⚡ 5
SINNERS
0-3
HLTV #27
⚡ 6
BetBoom
3-0
HLTV #28
⚡ 7
GamerLegion
✓ 3-1
HLTV #22
📊 Full Probability Matrix
All 16 teams ranked by PRO's perfect-Swiss probability. Each row shows how often the team finished in that bucket across 10,000 simulations.
| Team | P(3-0) | P(Advance) | P(0-3) | P(Eliminate) | Picked as |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
HEROIC
#16
|
0.206 | 0.473 | 0.061 | 0.321 | 3-0 PICK |
|
B8
#20
|
0.183 | 0.437 | 0.074 | 0.380 | ADVANCE |
|
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
|
0.181 | 0.429 | 0.078 | 0.391 | ADVANCE |
|
TYLOO
#21
|
0.165 | 0.436 | 0.087 | 0.399 | ADVANCE |
|
Liquid
#18
|
0.157 | 0.439 | 0.087 | 0.404 | ADVANCE |
|
SINNERS
#27
|
0.143 | 0.419 | 0.097 | 0.438 | ADVANCE |
Sharks
|
0.130 | 0.377 | 0.109 | 0.493 | — |
|
GamerLegion
#22
|
0.127 | 0.392 | 0.117 | 0.481 | ADVANCE |
|
BetBoom
#28
|
0.119 | 0.401 | 0.120 | 0.480 | ADVANCE |
NRG
#25
|
0.105 | 0.374 | 0.136 | 0.521 | — |
MIBR
|
0.096 | 0.342 | 0.148 | 0.563 | — |
Lynn Vision
|
0.090 | 0.308 | 0.156 | 0.602 | — |
FlyQuest
|
0.089 | 0.318 | 0.162 | 0.593 | — |
Gaimin Gladiators
|
0.077 | 0.286 | 0.175 | 0.637 | — |
M80
|
0.072 | 0.285 | 0.194 | 0.643 | — |
|
BIG
|
0.060 | 0.284 | 0.200 | 0.656 | 0-3 PICK |
How PRO predicts
Rank + H2H for top matches
For the Pickem Challenge, PRO ran 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the 16-team Swiss bracket. In each simulation, every pairing is decided by flipping a biased coin weighted by PRO's match-level win probability between those two teams. After all simulations, each team's P(3-0) = fraction of simulations it finished without a loss, P(0-3) = fraction it finished winless, P(Advance) = fraction it finished 3-1 or 3-2. The picks above are the top-1 of each bucket.
For the Pickem Challenge, PRO ran 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the 16-team Swiss bracket. In each simulation, every pairing is decided by flipping a biased coin weighted by PRO's match-level win probability between those two teams. After all simulations, each team's P(3-0) = fraction of simulations it finished without a loss, P(0-3) = fraction it finished winless, P(Advance) = fraction it finished 3-1 or 3-2. The picks above are the top-1 of each bucket.