WR10PURE — IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 1 Pickem Picks
WR10P · Pure win rate vs top-10
🎯 WR10PURE's Pickem Picks
From 10,000 Monte Carlo Swiss simulations using WR10PURE's match-level priors
🏆 3-0
BetBoom
HLTV #28
💀 0-3
NRG
HLTV #25
⚡ Advance (3-1 or 3-2) — 7 picks
⚡ 1
MIBR
unranked
⚡ 2
Sharks
unranked
⚡ 3
GamerLegion
HLTV #22
⚡ 4
Gaimin Gladiators
unranked
⚡ 5
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
unranked
⚡ 6
Lynn Vision
unranked
⚡ 7
B8
HLTV #20
📊 Full Probability Matrix
All 16 teams ranked by WR10PURE's perfect-Swiss probability. Each row shows how often the team finished in that bucket across 10,000 simulations.
| Team | P(3-0) | P(Advance) | P(0-3) | P(Eliminate) | Picked as |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BetBoom
#28
|
0.289 | 0.508 | 0.027 | 0.203 | 3-0 PICK |
|
GamerLegion
#22
|
0.280 | 0.494 | 0.029 | 0.227 | ADVANCE |
|
Sharks
|
0.205 | 0.520 | 0.051 | 0.276 | ADVANCE |
|
MIBR
|
0.197 | 0.541 | 0.051 | 0.262 | ADVANCE |
|
Gaimin Gladiators
|
0.159 | 0.471 | 0.071 | 0.370 | ADVANCE |
|
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
|
0.150 | 0.444 | 0.081 | 0.406 | ADVANCE |
|
B8
#20
|
0.117 | 0.400 | 0.108 | 0.483 | ADVANCE |
|
Lynn Vision
|
0.101 | 0.432 | 0.109 | 0.467 | ADVANCE |
M80
|
0.092 | 0.360 | 0.121 | 0.548 | — |
HEROIC
#16
|
0.091 | 0.331 | 0.122 | 0.577 | — |
BIG
|
0.083 | 0.366 | 0.132 | 0.552 | — |
FlyQuest
|
0.059 | 0.251 | 0.165 | 0.689 | — |
TYLOO
#21
|
0.058 | 0.250 | 0.189 | 0.692 | — |
SINNERS
#27
|
0.041 | 0.210 | 0.255 | 0.750 | — |
Liquid
#18
|
0.041 | 0.242 | 0.233 | 0.717 | — |
|
NRG
#25
|
0.037 | 0.183 | 0.257 | 0.781 | 0-3 PICK |
How WR10PURE predicts
Pure win rate vs top-10
For the Pickem Challenge, WR10PURE ran 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the 16-team Swiss bracket. In each simulation, every pairing is decided by flipping a biased coin weighted by WR10PURE's match-level win probability between those two teams. After all simulations, each team's P(3-0) = fraction of simulations it finished without a loss, P(0-3) = fraction it finished winless, P(Advance) = fraction it finished 3-1 or 3-2. The picks above are the top-1 of each bucket.
For the Pickem Challenge, WR10PURE ran 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the 16-team Swiss bracket. In each simulation, every pairing is decided by flipping a biased coin weighted by WR10PURE's match-level win probability between those two teams. After all simulations, each team's P(3-0) = fraction of simulations it finished without a loss, P(0-3) = fraction it finished winless, P(Advance) = fraction it finished 3-1 or 3-2. The picks above are the top-1 of each bucket.