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WR10PURE — IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 1 Pickem Picks

WR10P · Pure win rate vs top-10

🎯 WR10PURE's Pickem Picks

From 10,000 Monte Carlo Swiss simulations using WR10PURE's match-level priors
🏆 3-0
BetBoom
HLTV #28
3% confidence
💀 0-3
NRG
HLTV #25
3% confidence
⚡ Advance (3-1 or 3-2) — 7 picks
⚡ 1
MIBR
unranked
5% advance
⚡ 2
Sharks
unranked
5% advance
⚡ 3
GamerLegion
HLTV #22
5% advance
⚡ 4
Gaimin Gladiators
unranked
5% advance
⚡ 5
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
unranked
4% advance
⚡ 6
Lynn Vision
unranked
4% advance
⚡ 7
B8
HLTV #20
4% advance

📊 Full Probability Matrix

All 16 teams ranked by WR10PURE's perfect-Swiss probability. Each row shows how often the team finished in that bucket across 10,000 simulations.
Team P(3-0) P(Advance) P(0-3) P(Eliminate) Picked as
BetBoom #28 0.289 0.508 0.027 0.203 3-0 PICK
GamerLegion #22 0.280 0.494 0.029 0.227 ADVANCE
Sharks 0.205 0.520 0.051 0.276 ADVANCE
MIBR 0.197 0.541 0.051 0.262 ADVANCE
Gaimin Gladiators 0.159 0.471 0.071 0.370 ADVANCE
THUNDER dOWNUNDER 0.150 0.444 0.081 0.406 ADVANCE
B8 #20 0.117 0.400 0.108 0.483 ADVANCE
Lynn Vision 0.101 0.432 0.109 0.467 ADVANCE
M80 0.092 0.360 0.121 0.548
HEROIC #16 0.091 0.331 0.122 0.577
BIG 0.083 0.366 0.132 0.552
FlyQuest 0.059 0.251 0.165 0.689
TYLOO #21 0.058 0.250 0.189 0.692
SINNERS #27 0.041 0.210 0.255 0.750
Liquid #18 0.041 0.242 0.233 0.717
NRG #25 0.037 0.183 0.257 0.781 0-3 PICK

How WR10PURE predicts

Pure win rate vs top-10

For the Pickem Challenge, WR10PURE ran 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the 16-team Swiss bracket. In each simulation, every pairing is decided by flipping a biased coin weighted by WR10PURE's match-level win probability between those two teams. After all simulations, each team's P(3-0) = fraction of simulations it finished without a loss, P(0-3) = fraction it finished winless, P(Advance) = fraction it finished 3-1 or 3-2. The picks above are the top-1 of each bucket.

🔀 Compare other models

26 other AI models also picked this event — click to see their breakdown.
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