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Match Prediction Engine

MAJOR — IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 1 Pickem Picks

MAJOR · Rank + H2H + Form for major events

🎯 MAJOR's Pickem Picks

From 10,000 Monte Carlo Swiss simulations using MAJOR's match-level priors
🏆 3-0
HEROIC
HLTV #16
2% confidence
💀 0-3
BIG
unranked
2% confidence
⚡ Advance (3-1 or 3-2) — 7 picks
⚡ 1
B8
HLTV #20
5% advance
⚡ 2
Liquid
HLTV #18
4% advance
⚡ 3
TYLOO
HLTV #21
4% advance
⚡ 4
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
unranked
4% advance
⚡ 5
SINNERS
HLTV #27
4% advance
⚡ 6
GamerLegion
HLTV #22
4% advance
⚡ 7
BetBoom
HLTV #28
4% advance

📊 Full Probability Matrix

All 16 teams ranked by MAJOR's perfect-Swiss probability. Each row shows how often the team finished in that bucket across 10,000 simulations.
Team P(3-0) P(Advance) P(0-3) P(Eliminate) Picked as
HEROIC #16 0.219 0.490 0.055 0.292 3-0 PICK
B8 #20 0.193 0.453 0.067 0.354 ADVANCE
THUNDER dOWNUNDER 0.184 0.421 0.070 0.395 ADVANCE
TYLOO #21 0.176 0.443 0.078 0.381 ADVANCE
Liquid #18 0.164 0.449 0.083 0.387 ADVANCE
SINNERS #27 0.146 0.416 0.095 0.438 ADVANCE
Sharks 0.127 0.380 0.108 0.493
GamerLegion #22 0.122 0.405 0.113 0.473 ADVANCE
BetBoom #28 0.116 0.394 0.120 0.491 ADVANCE
NRG #25 0.100 0.375 0.142 0.525
Lynn Vision 0.090 0.305 0.150 0.604
MIBR 0.088 0.327 0.156 0.585
FlyQuest 0.077 0.315 0.176 0.608
Gaimin Gladiators 0.072 0.278 0.176 0.651
M80 0.065 0.276 0.203 0.659
BIG 0.062 0.274 0.208 0.664 0-3 PICK

How MAJOR predicts

Rank + H2H + Form for major events

For the Pickem Challenge, MAJOR ran 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the 16-team Swiss bracket. In each simulation, every pairing is decided by flipping a biased coin weighted by MAJOR's match-level win probability between those two teams. After all simulations, each team's P(3-0) = fraction of simulations it finished without a loss, P(0-3) = fraction it finished winless, P(Advance) = fraction it finished 3-1 or 3-2. The picks above are the top-1 of each bucket.

🔀 Compare other models

26 other AI models also picked this event — click to see their breakdown.
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