STREAK — IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 1 Pickem Picks
STREAK · Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
🎯 STREAK's Pickem Picks
From 10,000 Monte Carlo Swiss simulations using STREAK's match-level priors
🏆 3-0
TYLOO
3-2
HLTV #21
💀 0-3
FlyQuest
3-2
unranked
⚡ Advance (3-1 or 3-2) — 7 picks
⚡ 1
HEROIC
1-3
HLTV #16
⚡ 2
GamerLegion
✓ 3-1
HLTV #22
⚡ 3
Liquid
2-3
HLTV #18
⚡ 4
B8
3-0
HLTV #20
⚡ 5
SINNERS
0-3
HLTV #27
⚡ 6
Sharks
1-3
unranked
⚡ 7
BetBoom
3-0
HLTV #28
📊 Full Probability Matrix
All 16 teams ranked by STREAK's perfect-Swiss probability. Each row shows how often the team finished in that bucket across 10,000 simulations.
| Team | P(3-0) | P(Advance) | P(0-3) | P(Eliminate) | Picked as |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
TYLOO
#21
|
0.190 | 0.445 | 0.075 | 0.365 | 3-0 PICK |
|
HEROIC
#16
|
0.185 | 0.451 | 0.078 | 0.365 | ADVANCE |
|
GamerLegion
#22
|
0.166 | 0.443 | 0.082 | 0.392 | ADVANCE |
|
B8
#20
|
0.155 | 0.406 | 0.093 | 0.440 | ADVANCE |
|
Liquid
#18
|
0.148 | 0.407 | 0.100 | 0.445 | ADVANCE |
|
SINNERS
#27
|
0.128 | 0.392 | 0.115 | 0.480 | ADVANCE |
|
Sharks
|
0.122 | 0.386 | 0.113 | 0.492 | ADVANCE |
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
|
0.119 | 0.360 | 0.125 | 0.521 | — |
|
BetBoom
#28
|
0.118 | 0.379 | 0.133 | 0.503 | ADVANCE |
NRG
#25
|
0.108 | 0.377 | 0.131 | 0.516 | — |
MIBR
|
0.105 | 0.352 | 0.139 | 0.543 | — |
Lynn Vision
|
0.101 | 0.341 | 0.147 | 0.558 | — |
Gaimin Gladiators
|
0.100 | 0.324 | 0.148 | 0.577 | — |
BIG
|
0.092 | 0.319 | 0.163 | 0.588 | — |
M80
|
0.083 | 0.302 | 0.173 | 0.615 | — |
|
FlyQuest
|
0.081 | 0.318 | 0.184 | 0.602 | 0-3 PICK |
How STREAK predicts
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
For the Pickem Challenge, STREAK ran 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the 16-team Swiss bracket. In each simulation, every pairing is decided by flipping a biased coin weighted by STREAK's match-level win probability between those two teams. After all simulations, each team's P(3-0) = fraction of simulations it finished without a loss, P(0-3) = fraction it finished winless, P(Advance) = fraction it finished 3-1 or 3-2. The picks above are the top-1 of each bucket.
For the Pickem Challenge, STREAK ran 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the 16-team Swiss bracket. In each simulation, every pairing is decided by flipping a biased coin weighted by STREAK's match-level win probability between those two teams. After all simulations, each team's P(3-0) = fraction of simulations it finished without a loss, P(0-3) = fraction it finished winless, P(Advance) = fraction it finished 3-1 or 3-2. The picks above are the top-1 of each bucket.