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WR10 — IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 1 Pickem Picks

WR10 · Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10

🎯 WR10's Pickem Picks

From 10,000 Monte Carlo Swiss simulations using WR10's match-level priors
🏆 3-0
HEROIC
HLTV #16
2% confidence
💀 0-3
M80
unranked
2% confidence
⚡ Advance (3-1 or 3-2) — 7 picks
⚡ 1
B8
HLTV #20
4% advance
⚡ 2
BetBoom
HLTV #28
4% advance
⚡ 3
TYLOO
HLTV #21
4% advance
⚡ 4
GamerLegion
HLTV #22
4% advance
⚡ 5
Liquid
HLTV #18
4% advance
⚡ 6
Sharks
unranked
4% advance
⚡ 7
MIBR
unranked
4% advance

📊 Full Probability Matrix

All 16 teams ranked by WR10's perfect-Swiss probability. Each row shows how often the team finished in that bucket across 10,000 simulations.
Team P(3-0) P(Advance) P(0-3) P(Eliminate) Picked as
HEROIC #16 0.194 0.451 0.070 0.355 3-0 PICK
B8 #20 0.172 0.441 0.079 0.387 ADVANCE
TYLOO #21 0.165 0.424 0.089 0.411 ADVANCE
GamerLegion #22 0.153 0.421 0.094 0.425 ADVANCE
BetBoom #28 0.151 0.433 0.094 0.417 ADVANCE
Sharks 0.139 0.387 0.105 0.474 ADVANCE
THUNDER dOWNUNDER 0.126 0.369 0.118 0.505
Liquid #18 0.124 0.393 0.121 0.483 ADVANCE
MIBR 0.118 0.380 0.128 0.502 ADVANCE
SINNERS #27 0.112 0.370 0.129 0.517
Lynn Vision 0.111 0.357 0.131 0.533
Gaimin Gladiators 0.106 0.337 0.143 0.557
BIG 0.092 0.331 0.157 0.577
NRG #25 0.082 0.319 0.173 0.599
FlyQuest 0.079 0.311 0.175 0.610
M80 0.075 0.277 0.196 0.648 0-3 PICK

How WR10 predicts

Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10

For the Pickem Challenge, WR10 ran 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the 16-team Swiss bracket. In each simulation, every pairing is decided by flipping a biased coin weighted by WR10's match-level win probability between those two teams. After all simulations, each team's P(3-0) = fraction of simulations it finished without a loss, P(0-3) = fraction it finished winless, P(Advance) = fraction it finished 3-1 or 3-2. The picks above are the top-1 of each bucket.

🔀 Compare other models

26 other AI models also picked this event — click to see their breakdown.
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