WR10COMBO — IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 1 Pickem Picks
WR10C · Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
🎯 WR10COMBO's Pickem Picks
From 10,000 Monte Carlo Swiss simulations using WR10COMBO's match-level priors
🏆 3-0
GamerLegion
HLTV #22
💀 0-3
SINNERS
HLTV #27
⚡ Advance (3-1 or 3-2) — 7 picks
⚡ 1
HEROIC
HLTV #16
⚡ 2
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
unranked
⚡ 3
Lynn Vision
unranked
⚡ 4
BetBoom
HLTV #28
⚡ 5
B8
HLTV #20
⚡ 6
MIBR
unranked
⚡ 7
Sharks
unranked
📊 Full Probability Matrix
All 16 teams ranked by WR10COMBO's perfect-Swiss probability. Each row shows how often the team finished in that bucket across 10,000 simulations.
| Team | P(3-0) | P(Advance) | P(0-3) | P(Eliminate) | Picked as |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
GamerLegion
#22
|
0.331 | 0.510 | 0.022 | 0.160 | 3-0 PICK |
|
HEROIC
#16
|
0.220 | 0.491 | 0.052 | 0.290 | ADVANCE |
|
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
|
0.200 | 0.480 | 0.049 | 0.320 | ADVANCE |
|
Lynn Vision
|
0.168 | 0.441 | 0.069 | 0.391 | ADVANCE |
|
BetBoom
#28
|
0.154 | 0.419 | 0.087 | 0.427 | ADVANCE |
|
B8
#20
|
0.131 | 0.411 | 0.094 | 0.458 | ADVANCE |
|
Sharks
|
0.130 | 0.404 | 0.095 | 0.466 | ADVANCE |
|
MIBR
|
0.118 | 0.407 | 0.107 | 0.475 | ADVANCE |
TYLOO
#21
|
0.113 | 0.392 | 0.111 | 0.495 | — |
NRG
#25
|
0.091 | 0.370 | 0.135 | 0.539 | — |
M80
|
0.075 | 0.320 | 0.154 | 0.605 | — |
FlyQuest
|
0.065 | 0.307 | 0.166 | 0.628 | — |
Liquid
#18
|
0.057 | 0.255 | 0.198 | 0.688 | — |
Gaimin Gladiators
|
0.056 | 0.271 | 0.202 | 0.674 | — |
BIG
|
0.049 | 0.273 | 0.217 | 0.678 | — |
|
SINNERS
#27
|
0.042 | 0.251 | 0.242 | 0.708 | 0-3 PICK |
How WR10COMBO predicts
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
For the Pickem Challenge, WR10COMBO ran 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the 16-team Swiss bracket. In each simulation, every pairing is decided by flipping a biased coin weighted by WR10COMBO's match-level win probability between those two teams. After all simulations, each team's P(3-0) = fraction of simulations it finished without a loss, P(0-3) = fraction it finished winless, P(Advance) = fraction it finished 3-1 or 3-2. The picks above are the top-1 of each bucket.
For the Pickem Challenge, WR10COMBO ran 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the 16-team Swiss bracket. In each simulation, every pairing is decided by flipping a biased coin weighted by WR10COMBO's match-level win probability between those two teams. After all simulations, each team's P(3-0) = fraction of simulations it finished without a loss, P(0-3) = fraction it finished winless, P(Advance) = fraction it finished 3-1 or 3-2. The picks above are the top-1 of each bucket.