IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3 — Pickem Predictions
Completed
· Swiss starts Jun 11, 10:00 UTC
· 28 AI models
🎯 Final Standings
Actual Swiss outcomes per team — with how many AI models picked them for the matching Pickem role
3-1
Advanced (3-1)
3-2
Advanced (3-2)
2-3
Eliminated (2-3)
The MongolZ
No scoring role
FUT
No scoring role
Natus Vincere
No scoring role
1-3
Eliminated (1-3)
Monte
No scoring role
MOUZ
No scoring role
Legacy
No scoring role
🏆 Final Model Scores
HLTV scoring: 4 pts per correct 3-0/0-3 + 1 pt per correct advancer (max 15)
| # | Model | Score | 3-0 | 0-3 | Advance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🥇 | SENTINEL → | 8/15 | ✓ | ✗ | 4/7 |
| 🥈 | VANGUARD → | 7/15 | ✓ | ✗ | 3/7 |
| 🥉 | SURGE → | 7/15 | ✓ | ✗ | 3/7 |
| #4 | FORM → | 6/15 | ✗ | ✓ | 2/7 |
| #5 | MIND → | 6/15 | ✗ | ✓ | 2/7 |
| #6 | NEXUS → | 4/15 | ✗ | ✗ | 4/7 |
| #7 | ORACLE → | 3/15 | ✗ | ✗ | 3/7 |
| #8 | PHANTOM → | 3/15 | ✗ | ✗ | 3/7 |
| #9 | STREAK → | 3/15 | ✗ | ✗ | 3/7 |
| #10 | SOS → | 3/15 | ✗ | ✗ | 3/7 |
| #11 | HIGHORACLE → | 3/15 | ✗ | ✗ | 3/7 |
| #12 | PRO → | 2/15 | ✗ | ✗ | 2/7 |
| #13 | SQUAD → | 2/15 | ✗ | ✗ | 2/7 |
| #14 | TIER2ELO → | 2/15 | ✗ | ✗ | 2/7 |
| #15 | MAJOR → | 2/15 | ✗ | ✗ | 2/7 |
| #16 | TIER3ELO → | 2/15 | ✗ | ✗ | 2/7 |
| #17 | TIERELO → | 2/15 | ✗ | ✗ | 2/7 |
| #18 | TRIBUNAL → | 2/15 | ✗ | ✗ | 2/7 |
| #19 | WR10 → | 2/15 | ✗ | ✗ | 2/7 |
| #20 | WR10PURE → | 2/15 | ✗ | ✗ | 2/7 |
| #21 | APEX → | 2/15 | ✗ | ✗ | 2/7 |
| #22 | EAGLE → | 2/15 | ✗ | ✗ | 2/7 |
| #23 | ELO → | 2/15 | ✗ | ✗ | 2/7 |
| #24 | OPEN → | 2/15 | ✗ | ✗ | 2/7 |
| #25 | STRONGHOLD → | 2/15 | ✗ | ✗ | 2/7 |
| #26 | WR10COMBO → | 1/15 | ✗ | ✗ | 1/7 |
| #27 | ELOFACE → | 1/15 | ✗ | ✗ | 1/7 |
| #28 | ELOHQ → | 1/15 | ✗ | ✗ | 1/7 |
🔮 What Models Predicted vs Actual
Retrospective: top vote-getter per role across 28 models, with actual outcome stamp
🏆 3-0
4 pts · perfect Swiss
Vitality
3-1
16/28 models agree
Also picked:
PARIVISION 2
G2 2
Falcons 2
💀 0-3
4 pts · winless
BetBoom
3-2
13/28 models agree
Also picked:
FURIA 4
B8 2
9z 2
⚡ Advance
1 pt × 7 · 3-1 or 3-2
The MongolZ✗
23/28
Falcons✓
21/28
PARIVISION✗
18/28
MOUZ✗
17/28
Natus Vincere✗
17/28
Spirit✗
16/28
Aurora✓
15/28
📊 Per-Model Picks
28 AI models ordered by their Pickem rank (cumulative points across prior Majors); models with no Pickem history yet fall back to match-accuracy order. Each card shows the model's 3-0 / 0-3 pick, its match-accuracy %, and its Pickem rank/pts. Click any card for full breakdown.
WR10COMBO
WR10C
61.8% acc
🏆 #1 16 pts
3-0
Vitality
54.6%
0-3
9z
27.2%
View full breakdown →
TIERELO
TIER
72.5% acc
🏆 #2 14 pts
3-0
Vitality
17.4%
0-3
BetBoom
15.6%
View full breakdown →
TIER3ELO
TIER3
74.4% acc
🏆 #3 10 pts
3-0
Vitality
15.9%
0-3
9z
13.9%
View full breakdown →
TRIBUNAL
TRIBUNAL
80.9% acc
🏆 #4 10 pts
3-0
Vitality
27.9%
0-3
BetBoom
34.5%
View full breakdown →
ELOFACE
ELOFACE
64.4% acc
🏆 #5 10 pts
3-0
Vitality
36.5%
0-3
BetBoom
23.7%
View full breakdown →
SENTINEL
SENTINEL
81.1% acc
🏆 #6 10 pts
3-0
FURIA
19.2%
0-3
BetBoom
45.4%
View full breakdown →
MIND
MIND
50.6% acc
🏆 #7 10 pts
3-0
Natus Vincere
21.1%
0-3
B8
22.7%
View full breakdown →
ELO
ELO
63.9% acc
🏆 #8 10 pts
3-0
Vitality
49.7%
0-3
BetBoom
29.2%
View full breakdown →
ELOHQ
ELOHQ
70.7% acc
🏆 #9 9 pts
3-0
Vitality
19.1%
0-3
BetBoom
16.3%
View full breakdown →
TIER2ELO
TIER2
70.5% acc
🏆 #10 9 pts
3-0
Vitality
18.1%
0-3
BetBoom
15.6%
View full breakdown →
SURGE
SURGE
44.2% acc
🏆 #11 8 pts
3-0
FURIA
29.9%
0-3
Legacy
53.1%
View full breakdown →
HIGHORACLE
HIGH-ORACLE
67.8% acc
🏆 #12 7 pts
3-0
Monte
21.9%
0-3
Spirit
27.0%
View full breakdown →
SOS
SOS
63.8% acc
🏆 #13 7 pts
3-0
Vitality
17.8%
0-3
BetBoom
20.0%
View full breakdown →
ORACLE
ORACLE
64.4% acc
🏆 #14 7 pts
3-0
PARIVISION
18.4%
0-3
BetBoom
16.4%
View full breakdown →
EAGLE
EAGLE
59.2% acc
🏆 #15 7 pts
3-0
PARIVISION
22.5%
0-3
Natus Vincere
19.9%
View full breakdown →
NEXUS
NEXUS
72.5% acc
🏆 #16 7 pts
3-0
Falcons
22.4%
0-3
Monte
25.8%
View full breakdown →
SQUAD
SQUAD
58.4% acc
🏆 #17 6 pts
3-0
Vitality
72.4%
0-3
MOUZ
40.5%
View full breakdown →
WR10
WR10
62.7% acc
🏆 #18 6 pts
3-0
Vitality
16.0%
0-3
FURIA
15.5%
View full breakdown →
MAJOR
MAJOR
62.2% acc
🏆 #19 6 pts
3-0
G2
16.0%
0-3
FURIA
14.7%
View full breakdown →
PRO
XGPRO
61.9% acc
🏆 #20 5 pts
3-0
G2
15.9%
0-3
FURIA
14.9%
View full breakdown →
WR10PURE
WR10P
51.5% acc
🏆 #21 5 pts
3-0
Vitality
40.4%
0-3
G2
32.0%
View full breakdown →
STRONGHOLD
STRONGHOLD
79.2% acc
🏆 #22 5 pts
3-0
Falcons
25.9%
0-3
BetBoom
54.1%
View full breakdown →
VANGUARD
VANGUARD
73.4% acc
🏆 #23 5 pts
3-0
Spirit
29.8%
0-3
BetBoom
62.3%
View full breakdown →
APEX
APEX
63.4% acc
🏆 #24 5 pts
3-0
Vitality
22.4%
0-3
FUT
20.3%
View full breakdown →
STREAK
STREAK
62.4% acc
🏆 #25 5 pts
3-0
Vitality
19.9%
0-3
FURIA
15.4%
View full breakdown →
OPEN
OPEN
59.0% acc
🏆 #26 4 pts
3-0
Vitality
21.0%
0-3
BetBoom
20.2%
View full breakdown →
FORM
FORM
52.6% acc
🏆 #27 4 pts
3-0
Vitality
29.4%
0-3
B8
25.6%
View full breakdown →
PHANTOM
PHANTOM
65.1% acc
🏆 #28 4 pts
3-0
MOUZ
21.4%
0-3
BetBoom
18.0%
View full breakdown →
How AI predicts Pickem
Each of the 28 models on CS2PREDICT has its own match-prediction logic (ELO, recent form, head-to-head, etc.). For Pickem we run a Monte Carlo simulation of the 16-team Swiss bracket — 10,000 times per model — using the model's per-match win-probability for every potential pairing.
Each model's 3-0 pick is the team that finishes 3-0 most often in those simulations, 0-3 is the most-frequent winless team, advance picks are the 7 teams most likely to finish 3-1 or 3-2.
The consensus is a vote: which team did the most models pick for each slot.