PRO — IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3 Pickem Picks
XGPRO · Rank + H2H for top matches
🎯 PRO's Pickem Picks
From 10,000 Monte Carlo Swiss simulations using PRO's match-level priors
🏆 3-0
G2
3-2
HLTV #12
💀 0-3
FURIA
3-0
HLTV #2
⚡ Advance (3-1 or 3-2) — 7 picks
⚡ 1
Monte
1-3
HLTV #23
⚡ 2
PARIVISION
0-3
HLTV #5
⚡ 3
Aurora
✓ 3-1
HLTV #7
⚡ 4
Vitality
✓ 3-1
HLTV #1
⚡ 5
B8
0-3
HLTV #20
⚡ 6
Legacy
1-3
HLTV #14
⚡ 7
The MongolZ
2-3
HLTV #8
📊 Full Probability Matrix
All 16 teams ranked by PRO's perfect-Swiss probability. Each row shows how often the team finished in that bucket across 10,000 simulations.
| Team | P(3-0) | P(Advance) | P(0-3) | P(Eliminate) | Picked as |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
G2
#12
|
0.159 | 0.426 | 0.096 | 0.415 | 3-0 PICK |
|
Monte
#23
|
0.146 | 0.393 | 0.108 | 0.460 | ADVANCE |
|
Aurora
#7
|
0.141 | 0.387 | 0.110 | 0.472 | ADVANCE |
|
PARIVISION
#5
|
0.131 | 0.392 | 0.124 | 0.477 | ADVANCE |
Spirit
#9
|
0.131 | 0.361 | 0.123 | 0.508 | — |
|
Vitality
#1
|
0.129 | 0.386 | 0.121 | 0.484 | ADVANCE |
|
Legacy
#14
|
0.129 | 0.384 | 0.123 | 0.487 | ADVANCE |
|
B8
#20
|
0.123 | 0.386 | 0.122 | 0.492 | ADVANCE |
MOUZ
#6
|
0.122 | 0.369 | 0.125 | 0.509 | — |
Natus Vincere
#3
|
0.121 | 0.368 | 0.129 | 0.511 | — |
FUT
#13
|
0.118 | 0.372 | 0.128 | 0.510 | — |
|
The MongolZ
#8
|
0.117 | 0.377 | 0.127 | 0.506 | ADVANCE |
Falcons
#4
|
0.116 | 0.362 | 0.130 | 0.522 | — |
9z
#17
|
0.108 | 0.355 | 0.141 | 0.538 | — |
|
FURIA
#2
|
0.107 | 0.340 | 0.149 | 0.554 | 0-3 PICK |
BetBoom
#28
|
0.103 | 0.343 | 0.146 | 0.555 | — |
How PRO predicts
Rank + H2H for top matches
For the Pickem Challenge, PRO ran 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the 16-team Swiss bracket. In each simulation, every pairing is decided by flipping a biased coin weighted by PRO's match-level win probability between those two teams. After all simulations, each team's P(3-0) = fraction of simulations it finished without a loss, P(0-3) = fraction it finished winless, P(Advance) = fraction it finished 3-1 or 3-2. The picks above are the top-1 of each bucket.
For the Pickem Challenge, PRO ran 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the 16-team Swiss bracket. In each simulation, every pairing is decided by flipping a biased coin weighted by PRO's match-level win probability between those two teams. After all simulations, each team's P(3-0) = fraction of simulations it finished without a loss, P(0-3) = fraction it finished winless, P(Advance) = fraction it finished 3-1 or 3-2. The picks above are the top-1 of each bucket.