HIGHORACLE — IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3 Pickem Picks
HIGH-ORACLE · Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
🎯 HIGHORACLE's Pickem Picks
From 10,000 Monte Carlo Swiss simulations using HIGHORACLE's match-level priors
🏆 3-0
Monte
1-3
HLTV #23
💀 0-3
Spirit
3-0
HLTV #9
⚡ Advance (3-1 or 3-2) — 7 picks
⚡ 1
9z
✓ 3-2
HLTV #17
⚡ 2
MOUZ
1-3
HLTV #6
⚡ 3
Falcons
✓ 3-1
HLTV #4
⚡ 4
PARIVISION
0-3
HLTV #5
⚡ 5
The MongolZ
2-3
HLTV #8
⚡ 6
Vitality
✓ 3-1
HLTV #1
⚡ 7
FUT
2-3
HLTV #13
📊 Full Probability Matrix
All 16 teams ranked by HIGHORACLE's perfect-Swiss probability. Each row shows how often the team finished in that bucket across 10,000 simulations.
| Team | P(3-0) | P(Advance) | P(0-3) | P(Eliminate) | Picked as |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Monte
#23
|
0.219 | 0.463 | 0.046 | 0.318 | 3-0 PICK |
|
Falcons
#4
|
0.197 | 0.466 | 0.056 | 0.337 | ADVANCE |
|
9z
#17
|
0.186 | 0.474 | 0.071 | 0.340 | ADVANCE |
|
Vitality
#1
|
0.172 | 0.434 | 0.063 | 0.394 | ADVANCE |
|
PARIVISION
#5
|
0.168 | 0.459 | 0.067 | 0.374 | ADVANCE |
|
MOUZ
#6
|
0.166 | 0.467 | 0.077 | 0.367 | ADVANCE |
Aurora
#7
|
0.165 | 0.427 | 0.082 | 0.408 | — |
|
The MongolZ
#8
|
0.140 | 0.453 | 0.087 | 0.407 | ADVANCE |
FURIA
#2
|
0.126 | 0.359 | 0.096 | 0.516 | — |
|
FUT
#13
|
0.114 | 0.427 | 0.109 | 0.459 | ADVANCE |
Legacy
#14
|
0.081 | 0.334 | 0.155 | 0.585 | — |
B8
#20
|
0.071 | 0.313 | 0.162 | 0.616 | — |
BetBoom
#28
|
0.066 | 0.263 | 0.197 | 0.672 | — |
G2
#12
|
0.053 | 0.250 | 0.222 | 0.698 | — |
Natus Vincere
#3
|
0.044 | 0.233 | 0.241 | 0.723 | — |
|
Spirit
#9
|
0.034 | 0.179 | 0.270 | 0.787 | 0-3 PICK |
How HIGHORACLE predicts
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
For the Pickem Challenge, HIGHORACLE ran 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the 16-team Swiss bracket. In each simulation, every pairing is decided by flipping a biased coin weighted by HIGHORACLE's match-level win probability between those two teams. After all simulations, each team's P(3-0) = fraction of simulations it finished without a loss, P(0-3) = fraction it finished winless, P(Advance) = fraction it finished 3-1 or 3-2. The picks above are the top-1 of each bucket.
For the Pickem Challenge, HIGHORACLE ran 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the 16-team Swiss bracket. In each simulation, every pairing is decided by flipping a biased coin weighted by HIGHORACLE's match-level win probability between those two teams. After all simulations, each team's P(3-0) = fraction of simulations it finished without a loss, P(0-3) = fraction it finished winless, P(Advance) = fraction it finished 3-1 or 3-2. The picks above are the top-1 of each bucket.